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TODAY'S FREE PICKS

  Oskeim Sports
MLB   06/12   Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners  
  Pick: Seattle Mariners -1.5
  Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same (or better) record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2378-939 SU (71.7%; +2% ROI) and 1537-1263 RL (+2.5% ROI) from game 40 out, including 807-279 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 619-467 RL (57%; +3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.2 runs per game.  Since 2004, MLB home favorites of -154 or greater with starting pitchers coming off a loss in which they allowed eight or more runs are 586-310 SU (65.4%; +1% ROI) and 442-452 RL (+3.2% ROI), winning by an average of +1.6 runs per game.  Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2751-4903 SU (35.9%; -1.2% ROI) and 3908-3327 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater league opponents, including 739-1490 SU (33.2%; -9.4% ROI) and 1110-1115 RL (-7.1% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game.  Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2393-4271 SU (35.9%; -4.3% ROI) and 3403-2895 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater league opponents, including 609-1253 SU (32.7%; -10.3% ROI) and 927-931 RL (-6.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game.  Finally, since 2003, .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1220-2462 SU (33.1%; -8.3% ROI) and 1611-1465 RL (-2.8% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game.  Take Seattle as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, June 12.